You know it’s bad when luxuries are discounted.

So a case of Chateau Lafite Rothschild has dropped by 25% in the past few months.  It’s still too expensive.  But that drop is a sign that even the rich are beginning to care about the cost of living.  If we see art prices coming off then we’ll know for sure that the fluff is …
Continue reading You know it’s bad when luxuries are discounted.

Helping us get real – the IMF owns up to the recession

The IMF has issued revised forecasts for Advanced Economies’ output in 2009. They have revised their forecast from 0.5% growth (made a month ago) to 0.3% shrinkage. They forecast US output change of -0.7%, EU change of -0.5% and Japan change of -0.3%. (Emerging market and developing economies still to grow at 5.1%.) Admitting that …
Continue reading Helping us get real – the IMF owns up to the recession

Greenspan admits naivety …

Making comments to Congress, former Federal Reserve Chairman Greenspan, said that the recent financial crisis had left him “in a state of shocked disbelief”. This might surprise financial players and pundits who had elevated Greenspan to godlike status.  Others, who have been doing simple sums of fundamental resource constraints and human behaviour against a background …
Continue reading Greenspan admits naivety …

Financial meltdown dwarfed by economic destruction of nature.

While the collapse of credit markets around the world is bearing on our minds, and curtailing our consumption today, the destruction of the earth’s biosphere by humanity’s footprint is so massive and immediate that its effects will compound the economic dislocation now and be felt directly within a year. The global economy is losing more …
Continue reading Financial meltdown dwarfed by economic destruction of nature.

IMF Global Financial Stability Report

Here’s the IMF’s timely Global Financial Stability Report -Financial Stress and Deleveraging Macro-Financial Implications and Policy. And their media release warning about a failure to act decisively. This attitude may well be destructive given that the whole nature of the financial system must change fundamentally.  Knee jerk reactions tend to be unproductive.  This can be …
Continue reading IMF Global Financial Stability Report

Thinking recession … feeling it yet?

The past couple of weeks people have really started to pay attention to the dislocation of financial markets and their impact on the economies, especially those of US and Europe. People have started to say they think we’re in a recession. I’m afraid this is the beginning only. We will start to feel the pain …
Continue reading Thinking recession … feeling it yet?

Get the right perspective.

So, the media leads with the headline that China’s economy slowed during the olympics because businesses were closed to help clear the atmosphere. But its important to get the detail.  The rate of growth remains high.  Far beyond what western economies are experiencing. industrial output growth of 12.8% in August retail sales up at an …
Continue reading Get the right perspective.

Is the US economy really growing?

Today’s report of 1.9% annualised growth of the US economy in the second quarter is surprising.  With virtual stagnation of property markets, dry credit and inflation it seems implausible that this growth is occurring.  These numbers from the Department of Commerce are preliminary and may be downgraded. Many analysts, including us, believe that the US …
Continue reading Is the US economy really growing?

Changing Games in the Global Casino

Hazel Henderson has pioneered natural capitalism for several decades and writes tirelessly on the dysfunctioning of iniquitous economic systems. In mid-June she published a summary and analysis of current events which is reproduced below and on EthicalMarkets.com here. Changing Games in the Global Casino © Hazel Henderson, 2008 Ever since the 1980s when Britain’s Margaret …
Continue reading Changing Games in the Global Casino