Come clean and admit it – there’s a recession.

Why don’t the reulators, policy makers, players and pundits just admit there’s a problem. I find it extraordinary that Bernanke and co won’t admit there’s a recession.  If they think that they can talk their way out of this downturn, how we can we believe that they will be able to re-engineer the financial system …
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Africa insulated from financial crisis.

As contended in our Financial Crisis 2008 notes, it is likely that Africa will not suffer the same fate as Western economies in this implosion of the financial markets. In this report the BBC asks Can Africa gain in the credit crisis? I see a number of issues in Africa’s favour: It is coming from …
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Can you say “volatility”?

Well, the news of European bank recapitalisations by governments underpinned an optimistic rally on the stock markets. But they will not return to previous levels. Volatility like this is a trader’s paradise. Index fluctuations of 3% (and up to 8%) are extraordinary and not indicative of value. But opinions seem to have value. The real …
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View from the inside: what went wrong, incompetence and what’s next …

Insightful comments from James Grant, a well respected financial market analyst.  In this interview with the Financial Times he comments on intervention by the US government exacerbating the problem, the incompetence of fiduciaries and the “bail-out” plan. Here’s the video link.

Is bailing out Fannie and Freddie a good thing?

Markets seem to like the idea of the two massive US mortgage lenders, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, being bailed out by the US government. Markets will benefit, in the short term. $ 200 billion dollars to support borrowers is attractive. But the medium and long term consequences are unlikely to be benign. This will …
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